Measuring Up 2000: The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education

 

Technical Guide

Documenting Methodology, Indicators and Data Sources

For

Measuring Up 2000:

The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education

November 2000

The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education

Foreword

ThisTechnical Guide for Measuring Up 2000 provides complete information related to the indicators used in Measuring Up 2000: The State-by-State Report Card for Higher Education. Measuring Up 2000 is available in full at www.highereducation.org.

 

The Technical Guide defines all indicators used in Measuring Up 2000, describes the methodology, and identifies the sources of the data.

 

The Technical Guide was compiled by senior policy analyst William Doyle of the National Center. Kristin Conklin, Joy Gambino and Kathy Reeves Bracco also contributed to the research and review of the Technical Guide. Dennis Jones and Peter Ewell of the National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS) provided an external review.

 

The National Center welcomes the comments of readers.

 

Joni Finney

Vice President

The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education

 

Center Report #00-4
© The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education
Contents

Introduction

Scoring and Grading State Performance

Graded Performance Categories

Preparation     Participation     Affordability     Completion     Benefits     Learning

Non-Graded Measures

About the National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education


Introduction

This technical guide describes the methodology and concepts used to measure and grade the performance of the 50 states in the higher education arena. Part I presents the methodology for scoring states as well as notes on data collection and reporting. Part II explains the indicators that comprise each of the five graded categories. Specifically, this section details the construction of each indicator—its source, scope and computations. Part III provides information for two policy variables (equity, change over time) that are not included in the grade calculation, but are important to the state assessment. Part III also includes information on all other non-graded information, including state context, leading indicators, facts and figures, and public satisfaction.

The term higher education is used consistently throughout the report card. In this context, higher education refers to accredited colleges and universities that qualify for Title IV federal financial aid. Private for-profit institutions run by employers to provide training and professional development are not included in this analysis. Unless otherwise noted, the indicators included in this analysis refer to education and training through the bachelor’s degree.

 

Scoring and Grading State Performance

Each of the five graded categories contains a number of related indicators. These indicators, culled from nationally comparable data, represent independent variables that explain, in part, statewide variation in category performance.

States’ performance on different indicators is compared through an indexing method in which raw score data on actual outcomes for each indicator are scaled to the median value of the top five performing states. This median of best performance is the benchmark for all other states. Each state’s raw scores are indexed to (i.e., divided by) the benchmark on every indicator in every category. Naturally, as states’ performance changes across the category, the best performance of the states changes, resulting in a distinct benchmark for each indicator.

Once indexed, each value is mathematically weighted by a predetermined value that accounts for its individual influence in predicting category performance. The value of each weight was determined by existing quantitative research documenting the significance of these variables. Although some indicators are weighted more heavily than other indicators in a category, the sum of all assigned weights totals 100%. At the introduction of each category, the specific weights assigned to each indicator are described.

In practice, once the value of each indexed indicator is multiplied by the appropriate weight, the weighted indexed values are totaled. That sum is rounded to a whole number to create a raw category score. Comparing these raw indicator scores, the single best overall performer in the category is identified. The category best performer’s overall score is then set to 100, and the overall scores of all the states are indexed to this. The exception to this process occurs when a state’s raw category score is over 100. In that case, the benchmark score is set to 100. The result is a final category score to which alphabetic grades are assigned. The following grade scale is used:



Table 1
Grading Scale
93–and above A 80–82 B–

67–69 D+
90–92 A– 77–79 C+ 63–66 D
87–89 B+ 73–76 C 60–62 D–
83–86 B 70–72 C– Below 60 F


Currency of Data

The report card strives to include the most recent data available. There are instances, however, when collecting agencies require months to analyze and disseminate reports to the public. Additionally, in some cases, data are not systematically collected each year. Finally, it is possible that future assessments or studies have not received authorization or funding for subsequent data collection. These scenarios complicate timely assessment. State performance on the report card’s indicators may lag behind recent changes or incompletely capture the initiatives state policymakers have recently implemented.

Missing Data

Missing data presents a number of challenges to a statewide assessment such as a report card. Measuring Up 2000 measures category performance using nationally comparable, reliable data. Despite the scientific survey methods used to collect this survey data, information cannot always be reported reliably for each state. This can be attributed to the fact that many surveys do not intentionally oversample populations from each of the 50 states. Thus, estimates of behaviors, characteristics or educational activities of the populations in small states are unlikely to be captured adequately by a nationally drawn random sample. In cases of nationally administered surveys like the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), states are given the option to participate in a population oversample but may decline to take part.

To a certain extent, missing data are problematic for some categories. Nevertheless, indicators are included to gauge state performance in the report card despite cases in which data are missing for more than one state. Such indicators were retained because they capture salient policy issues and signal the necessity to expand formal data collection to each of the 50 states.

To adjust for missing data, several strategies were considered and discarded. Choosing to assign a zero value to states that did not report data on specific indicators presumes the lowest possible performance. Alternatively, relying on the mean value of all states’ performance presumes similarity between states that are in fact quite distinct. Calculating a grade using only available data distorts the weighting method applied because indicators with data become more important than those without data in the calculation of the overall grade, regardless of their overall influence in determining category performance.

Consequently, where no comparable data exists to gauge states’ performance on an individual indicator, a technique known as imputation is applied. This strategy calculates the weighted mean value of state performance on indicators within a given category for which data are available for the state and applies that value where data are otherwise missing. This technique is applied to every state with missing data, using the weighted mean score of the state’s own performance. Imputing in this way presumes the state does neither better nor worse on an indicator for which it is missing data than it does on highly correlated indicators within the same category.

Migration

A final issue of note is that of migration of students and college graduates. Migration is a critical component of state performance in many of these categories, and its importance cannot be understated. Although indicators in the educational benefits and participation categories would do well to adjust for migration, this type of detailed analysis at the state level is simply not possible given current practices of data collection. Unless otherwise noted, population changes resulting from inter-state migration cannot be accounted for in this report card due to data limitations.

Graded Performance Categories

Six categories gauge state higher education performance: preparation, participation, affordability, completion, benefits and learning. All states receive an Incomplete grade in learning because all states lack information on the educational performance of college students that would permit systematic state or national comparisons. The following pages detail each of the performance categories#Chr(151)#defining the weights used and describing the specific indicators used to calculate states’ grades. A comprehensive catalogue of data sources, indicating collecting agency and periodicity, is included in this guide.


PREPARATION

The preparation category identifies several related factors contributing to the preparation of students for higher education. The ten indicators in preparation are grouped into three clusters, which are weighted in the following manner:

Indicators, Clusters and Weights

Cluster/Indicator

Weight

Cluster 1: High School Completion

20%

18- to 24-year-olds with a high school credential

20%

Cluster 2: K–12 Course Taking

40%

9th to 12th graders taking at least one upper-level math course

15%

9th to 12th graders taking at least one upper-level science course

15%

8th grade students taking algebra

10%

Cluster 3: K–12 Student Achievement

40%

8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in math

5%

8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in reading

5%

8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in writing

5%

Low-income 8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national exam in math

5%

Number of scores in the top 20% nationally on SAT/ACT college entrance exam per 1,000 high school graduates

10%

Number of scores that are 3 or higher on an Advanced Placement subject test per 1,000 high school juniors and seniors

10%

After almost 15 years of concerted national effort to document comparably the achievement of elementary and secondary students, most of the indicators in this category are available for all 50 states. If data are not available, it is because states have declined to provide the data to a collecting organization or to participate in a state oversample.


HIGH SCHOOL COMPLETION:
18-to 24-year-olds with a high school credential

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Current Population Survey October 1996, 1997 and 1998 Supplements. Washington, DC: Census Bureau, 1999. State level analysis provided by Pinkerton Computer Consultants, 2000.

This measure uses the following calculation:

Numerator: The number of 18- to 24-year-olds in the population holding a high school credential.

Denominator: The total population aged 18-24, excluding those still enrolled in high school or currently pursuing alternative certification.

A high school credential is a high school diploma or alternative degree certification such as a General Educational Development (GED) diploma.

Notes

This indicator captures the extent to which the young adult population in the state is minimally certified to participate in the workforce and participate in postsecondary education. This indicator is not a calculation of the percent of students graduating from high school in four years. Given the drop out and re-entry patterns of many students, a simple calculation of high school graduation rate would fail to capture their eventual completion.

Data Availability

This indicator pools three years of the most current data, 1996-98, to obtain a large enough sample size to make reliable state estimates and to account for aberrations in any single year of data. Using this method, data are available for each of the 50 states.


K–12 COURSE TAKING:
9th to 12th graders taking at least one upper-level math course

Source: Council of Chief State School Officers. State Indicators of Science and Mathematics Education: 1999. Washington, DC: Council of Chief State School Officers, 1999, p. 21.

Upper-level math course taking estimates the percentage of public high school students in the state who take one or more of the following classes in grades 9–12: geometry, algebra 2, trigonometry, pre-calculus or calculus.

Notes

High school transcript data for every student in every state are unavailable. To report high school math course taking at the state level, Council of Chief State School Officers (CCSSO) uses statistical measures to create an artificial cohort of students. Specifically, CCSSO gathers information on the actual number of students enrolled in each course for a given year, and then approximates the number of students enrolled in each high school grade level in the state for the same year. Student course enrollment can then be weighted by regional factors of total enrollment (weight assignments are not state specific). Using this method, CCSSO can estimate the number of math courses a typical student in each state would take prior to graduation. Due to these approximation techniques, variation between the sample estimate and the actual course enrollments in each state is possible, though standard error tables do not accompany the CCSSO indicators.

Although high school humanities subject course taking is also important to students’ preparation, neither the CCSSO nor any other organization collects this type of data comparably from the states.

Data Availability

Data are available from 30 states for both science and mathematics indicators. States for which data are unavailable: Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Montana, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, and Wyoming.


K–12 COURSE TAKING:
9th to 12th graders taking at least one upper-level science course

Source: Council of Chief State School Officers. State Indicators of Science and Mathematics Education: 1999. Washington, DC: Council of Chief State School Officers, p. 22.

A separate but similar indicator to math course taking, science course taking assesses the extent to which students in the state are enrolled in one or more of the following science courses: chemistry, physics, biology, Advanced Placement biology, earth science or other advanced science courses.

Notes

High school transcript data for every student in every state are unavailable. To report high school science course taking at the state level, CCSSO uses statistical measures to create an artificial cohort of students. Specifically, CCSSO gathers information on the actual number of students enrolled in each course for a given year, and then approximates the number of students enrolled in each high school grade level in the state for the same year. Student course enrollment can then be weighted by regional factors of total enrollment (weight assignments are not state specific). Using this method, CCSSO can estimate the number of science courses a typical student in each state would take prior to graduation. Due to these approximation techniques, variation between the sample estimate and the actual course enrollments in each state is possible, though standard error tables do not accompany the CCSSO indicators.

Although high school humanities subject course taking is also important to students’ preparation, neither the CCSSO nor any other organization collects this type of data comparably from the states.

Data Availability

Data are available from 30 states for both science and mathematics indicators. States for which data are unavailable: Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Montana, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, and Wyoming.


K–12 COURSE TAKING:
8th grade students taking algebra

Source: Council of Chief State School Officers. State Indicators of Science and Mathematics Education: 1999. Washington, DC: Council of Chief State School Officers, p. 23.

This measure uses the following calculation:

Numerator: Number of eighth grade students taking algebra in academic year 1997-98.

Denominator: Total eighth grade public school enrollment.

Notes

The Council of Chief State School Officers (CCSSO) collects these data annually from the state departments of education.

Data Availability

27 states responded and adhered to reporting requirements in the most recent assessment. Data are available for 27 states. States for which data are missing: Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wyoming.


K–12 STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT:
8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in math

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. National Assessment of Educational Progress, 1998 State Mathematics Resultsľ Data Almanac for Grade 8. Washington, DC: NCES, 1996.

These proficiency rates describe the percentage of all eighth graders enrolled in public and private school whose performance on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) was “proficient” or “advanced.”

Notes

Academic proficiency levels are determined by the National Assessment Governing Board, based on judgments about what students should know and be able to do.

Data Availability

Data were collected on mathematics proficiencies in 1996; 40 states participated in the eighth grade math assessment. States for which data are missing: Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, and South Dakota.


K–12 STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT:
8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in reading

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. National Assessment of Educational Progress, 1998 National and State Reading Summary Data Tables for Grade 8 Student Data. Washington, DC: NCES, 1998.

These proficiency rates describe the percentage of all eighth graders enrolled in public and private school whose performance on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) was “proficient” or “advanced.”

Notes

Academic proficiency levels are determined by the National Assessment Governing Board, based on judgments about what students should know and be able to do.

Data Availability

36 states participated in the eighth grade reading assessment. States for which data are missing: Alaska, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and Vermont.


K–12 STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT:
8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in writing

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. National Assessment of Educational Progress, 1998 National and State Writing Summary Data Tables for Grade 8 Student Data. Washington, DC: NCES, 1998.

These proficiency rates describe the percentage of all eighth graders enrolled in public and private school whose performance on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) was “proficient” or “advanced.”

Notes

Academic proficiency levels are determined by the National Assessment Governing Board, based on judgments about what students should know and be able to do.

Data Availability

In 1998, 35 states participated in the eighth grade writing assessment. States for which data are missing: Alaska, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and Vermont.


K–12 STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT:
Low-income 8th graders scoring at or above “proficient” on the national assessment exam in math

Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. National Assessment of Educational Progress 1996 Mathematics Report Card. Washington, DC: NCES, 1996, Table B.18, p. 135.

These proficiency rates describe the percentage of eligible eighth graders enrolled in public schools who are eligible for free or reduced-price lunch and whose performance on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) was “proficient” or “advanced.”

Notes

Academic proficiency levels are determined by the National Assessment Governing Board, based on judgments about what students should know and be able to do.

Data Availability

Data were collected on mathematics proficiencies in 1996. Data are available for 31 states. States for which data are missing: Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wisconsin.


K–12 STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT:
Number of scores in the top 20% nationally on SAT/ACT college entrance exams per 1,000 high school graduates

Sources:

Test Scores: College Board. “SAT I Overview Report With Means: National: All 1200 or Greater” (Unpublished Analysis). New York: The College Board, 1999.

ACT. “Percent of Students in Each State Who Scored 26 or Higher” (Unpublished Analysis). Iowa City: ACT, 1999.

High School Graduates: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity 1996–2012. Boulder: WICHE, 1998.

Conversion: Marco, Gary L., and Others. Methods Used To Establish Score Comparability on the Enhanced ACT Assessment and the SAT. New York: College Board, 1992.

This indicator reflects the prevalence of four-year college test taking throughout the state as well as the achievement that student test takers demonstrate. College entrance exam achievement is calculated per 1000 high school graduates in each state using the following formula:

Numerator: (Number of SAT test takers scoring at or above 1200) + (Number of ACT test takers scoring at or above 26)

Denominator: Number of 1999 public and private high school graduates

Notes

Nationally 18% of test takers score at or above a 1200 on the SAT. Students attaining this score, or higher, approximate the top quintile of SAT test takers. Though the ACT exams are administered independently and use a different scoring methodology than that used by the College Board for SAT scores, a common conversion method can be applied. ACT exam scores of 26 are the equivalent of a 1200 on the SAT exam.

The National Educational Longitudinal Study (NELS: 88) indicates that 15% of high school seniors take both the SAT and the ACT, although data are not collected in such a way as to provide an unduplicated count of test takers. This ratio does not provide information on the number of students in each state who take college preparatory exams. Instead, the numerator measures the total number of scores above a 1200 on the SAT and a 26 on the ACT. Constructed this way, the measure accounts for individual students who perform proficiently on more than one college entrance exam.

Data Availability

Data are available for all 50 states.


K–12 STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT:
Number of scores that are 3 or higher on an Advanced Placement subject test per 1,000 high school juniors and seniors

Source: Westat/ National Education Goals Panel. “AP Public and Private 11th and 12th Graders Scoring 3+ on All Tests per 1000” (Unpublished Analysis). Washington, DC: Westat, 1999.

This indicator measures the number of Advanced Placement examinations with scores of 3 or higher on a scale of 1–5 per 1,000 eleventh and twelfth grade students. The measure uses the following calculation:

Numerator: Number of Advanced Placement test scores of 3, 4 or 5.

Denominator: Total eleventh and twelfth grade public and private school enrollment.

The number of eleventh and twelfth graders includes students enrolled in public and private schools. These enrollment figures were computed by multiplying the public enrollment by a private-enrollment adjustment factor developed by data contractors working with the College Board. The total enrollment of eleventh and twelfth graders in the state is used because 90% of all AP test-taking candidates are enrolled in these grades.

Notes

This ratio does not provide information on the number of students in each state who take an advanced placement test. Instead, the numerator measures the total number of scores above a 3. Constructed this way, the measure accounts for individual students who perform proficiently on more than one AP exam. Scores above 3 are generally recognized for college credit.

Opportunities other than AP exist for students to take college-level courses while enrolled in college, including the International Baccalaureate (IB) program and local concurrent enrollment programs. The Advanced Placement program offered by the College Board is the most prevalent in U.S. high schools and the most widely recognized for credit by policymakers and colleges and universities.

Data Availability

Data are available for all 50 states.



PARTICIPATION

The participation category assesses the opportunities in each state for citizens of varying ages and income abilities to enroll in postsecondary education.

To broadly assess state performance in this category, various enrollment patterns and institution types are considered. These include full- and part-time enrollment at both two- and four-year institutions, and public and private colleges. Due to the lack of nationally comparable data, however, participation in non-accredited institutions, corporate or employer-sponsored education programs, and career training are not included.

The three indicators in participation are divided into two clusters, and are weighted in the following manner:

Indicators, Clusters and Weights

Cluster/Indicator

Weight

Cluster 1: Young Adults

60%

High school freshmen enrolling in college within 4 years in any state

40%

18- to 24-year-olds enrolling in college

20%

Cluster 2: Working-Age Adults

40%

25- to 44-year-olds enrolled part-time in some type of postsecondary education

40%


YOUNG ADULTS:
High school freshmen enrolling in college within 4 years in any state

Sources:

Indicator Analysis: Mortenson, Thomas. “Chance for College by Age 19.” Postsecondary Education Opportunity. No. 69, March 1998.

Public 9th graders: National Center for Education Statistics. Digest of Education Statistics 1995. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 1996, p. 57.

Public high school graduates: National Center for Education Statistics. Public Elementary and Secondary Education Statistics, School Year 1997­-1998. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 1998.

College enrollment: National Center for Educational Statistics: Residence and Migration of First-time Freshmen Enrolled in Degree-Granting Institutions, Fall 1996. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 1998.

This indicator measures the probability that students will enroll in college during the year following an on-time high school graduation (when most students are approximately age 19).

To calculate this measure, the high school completion rate is multiplied by the college continuation rate. The following formula describes the components of this calculation.

Numerator: Number of public high school graduates in 1996                   High School

Denominator: Number of public school ninth graders in 1992                  Completion Rate

 


Numerator: Number of college freshmen in 1996                                     College

Denominator: Number of public high school graduates in 1996                Continuation Rate

 


This indicator adjusts for migration by using the NCES residence and migration survey, which followed high school graduates to the institutions they chose to attend. Since many students pursue their college education out-of-state, students’ enrollment in college is attributed to the state in which they received their high school diplomas.

Notes

This is a synthetic cohort statistic that cannot adjust for students’ out-of-state migration during the high school years. Nationally comparable longitudinal data do not exist to measure precisely the college-going rate of 9th grade students in each state.

Data Availability

Data are available for all 50 states.


YOUNG ADULTS:
18-to 24-year-olds enrolling in college

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Current Population Survey, October 1996, 1997 and 1998 Supplements. Washington, DC: Census Bureau, 1999. State-level analysis provided by Pinkerton Computer Consultants, 2000.

This indicator reports the percent of all 18- to 24-year-old high school graduates enrolled in postsecondary education. The measure uses the following calculation:

Numerator: Total population of adults aged 18 to 24 enrolled in grades 13–17 who have not yet attained baccalaureate degrees.

Denominator: Total population aged 18 to 24.

Notes

Students already holding a baccalaureate degree and returning for additional or different credentials are not included in this figure.

Data Availability

This indicator pools three years of the most current data, 1996-98, to obtain a large enough sample size to make reliable state estimates and to account for aberrations in any single year of data. Data are available for all 50 states.

WORKING-AGE ADULTS:
25-to 44-year-olds enrolled part-time in some type of postsecondary education

Source:

Population Enrolled: National Center for Education Statistics. Fall Enrollment Survey, 1997 (Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System): Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 1999. State-level analysis provided by Pinkerton Computer Consultants, 2000.

Population: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Current Population Survey October 1996, 1997 and 1998 Supplements. Washington, DC: Census Bureau, 1999. State analysis provided by Pinkerton Computer Consultants, 2000.

The indicator measures the percent of 25- to 44-year-old high school graduates enrolled part-time in an institution of higher education. The following calculation is used:

Numerator: Population of adults aged 25 to 49 with at least a high school credential who are enrolled part time in an institution of higher education.

Denominator: Population of adults aged 25 to 44 with at least a high school credential.

Notes

This indicator focuses on part-time enrollment to assess the opportunities in each state to enroll part-time in postsecondary education. It includes adults enrolled in undergraduate and graduate level courses. Due to differences in data collection methods, an exact age-match among the adult population is not possible.

Data Availability

Data are available for all 50 states.



AFFORDABILITY

Affordability is based on these concepts:

·Students’ capacity to pay for college given the type of institution they attend, the financial aid they receive and their income constraints.
·The amount of need-based grant assistance they receive to offset expenses.
·The loan burden associated with their higher education expenses.

The six indicators included in this category combine data from a variety of sources. Together, they calculate a reasonable estimate of the actual amount that people in the state pay for higher education as well as the extent to which states employ policies to make college more affordable.

No comprehensive, student-level, comparable state data capturing price of attendance for higher education currently exist. This category uses best estimates to assess the extent to which college is affordable for citizens of varying income levels in each state.

Indicators, Clusters and Weights

Indicator/Cluster

Weight

Family ability to pay

50%

Family ability to pay at community colleges

Weighted by student enrollment in sector

Family ability to pay at public 4-year colleges

Weighted by student enrollment in sector

Family ability to pay at private 4-year colleges

Weighted by student enrollment in sector

Strategies for affordability

40%

Need-based financial aid

20%

Low-priced colleges

20%

Reliance on loans

10%

Student borrowing

10%


FAMILY ABILITY TO PAY:

Percent of family income needed to pay for college expenses after financial aid—

      at community colleges

      at public 4-year colleges/universities

      at private 4-year colleges/universities

Sources:

Tuition and room and board: National Center for Education Statistics. Digest of Education Statistics 1999. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 2000, p. 346.

Pell grants: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Postsecondary Education. Title IV/ Pell Grant End of the Year Report, 1998–1999. U.S. Department of Education, Table 21.

Institutional aid: Barbett, Sam and Korb, Roslyn. Current Fund Revenues and Expenditures of Degree Granting Institutions, Fiscal Year 1996. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 1999, Tables 10, 11, 12.

State income: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. Current Population Survey March 1996, 1997 and 1998 Supplements. Washington, DC: Census Bureau, 1999. State-level analysis provided by Pinkerton Computer Consultants, 2000.

Grant phase-out information: National Center for Education Statistics. National Postsecondary Student Aid Survey, 1996. U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics. Data Analysis System Variables: PELLAMT, INSTAMT, STATNEED, STATNOND, TOTGRT By CINCOME. Filtered by institution level and control for public 2-year, public 4-year, and private 4-year.

State grants: (need- and non-need-based): DeSalvatore, Kristen. National Association of State Student Grant and Aid Programs 20th Annual Survey, 1998–1999 Academic Survey Report. Albany, NY: National Association of State Student Grant and Aid Programs, 2000, Table 1.

Full-time equivalent enrollment: National Center for Education Statistics. Digest of Education Statistics 1999. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, 2000, p. 229.

Notes

College affordability is based on institutional price, the adequacy of state effort to meet students’ financial need, and students’ personal or family income. The ability to pay indicator examines the interaction of these important factors given 1) the variation in personal income that families of different means must pay to meet college costs, and 2) the variations in price across the public/private and 2- and 4-year sectors.

To assess state performance reliably and comparably, this indicator is based on a set of assumptions and a series of calculations that use a combination of national and state level data. The first set of calculations determines the approximate net price of college attendance, taking into account federal, state and institutional financial aid. The second set of calculations relates this net price to families’ annual income and takes into account the share of total enrollment at each of the major sectors in higher education: public 2-year colleges, public 4-year colleges and universities, and private 4-year colleges and universities.

 

Components of Net Price

Tuition and fees

The average tuition and fees (listed for in-state residents) are calculated by state for each of the major sectors in higher